my makeup may be flaking

December 21, 2024

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Location:

Seattle,WA,

Member Since:

Dec 30, 2007

Gender:

Male

Goal Type:

Other

Running Accomplishments:

2019: 10:29 2 mile, 16:33 5k, 27:14 8k, 55:50 15K, 1:16:04 HM

Post Mayan Apocalypse PRs:

200 31.13 (2016, ATC all comers)

400 69.96 (2015, ATC all comers)

800 2:19 (2016, ATC all comers)

Mile 4:58 (2017, ATC all comers)

3000 9:34 (2017, ATC all comers)

2mile 10:29 (2019, CNW Grand Prix)

5000 16:33.6 (2019, CNW all comers)

5k 16:50 (2018, Green Lake Gobble)

8k 27:14 (2019, Beat the Bridge)

10K 35:16 (2017, Eastside Beltline)

15K 55:10 (2018, Magnuson Park Memorial Day)

10-mile 60:29 (2017, Atlanta 10 mile)

HM 1:16:04 (2019, Lake Sammamish Half)

30K 2:01:56 (2014, Striders WRC 30K)

Mar 2:50:07 (2013, Sojo Marathon)

Fiddy "Classic" Accomplishments (before I forget)

2:03 800, 4:11 1500, 9:47 3200, 15:26 5000, 32:30 10000, 1:11:15 HM (unaided), 2:32 marathon (Boston)

Seattle Half Marathon '08-'11: 2nd (1:13), 4th (1:11), 5th (1:14), 2nd (1:13)

2nd MI half 2010 (1:11)

10th Seattle RNR 2009 (2:35)

97th Overall @ Boston 2010 (2:32)

2011 3rd Place @ Des News (2:35) and Top of Utah (2:33)

I once beat 14 year-old Connor Mantz (2011 Utah Valley Half 1:11) and 16 year-old Ben Saarel (2011 Flat as a pancake 16:23 in the f-ing snow)

2011 Salt Lake Half 1st place (1:14), Capitol Half 1st place (1:14), Provo City 4th place (1:16, unaided)

2011 Ragnar Ultra 1st place Wasatch Back Relay

7th place SLC half 2009 (1:11)

2009 Fremont 5k 16:00, 2010 Dart Challenge 16:05, 2011 Draper Days 16:02

2009 Running of the Leopards 15:03, aided

2009 Striders 10mile 1st place (58 mins)

2007 3rd place SCIAC 5k 15:26

2006 D3XC nationals, 184th (of 280)

Short-Term Running Goals:

5/18 Bart the Brodge

6/9 RicknRail Murothin

Long-Term Running Goals:

get busy living or get busy dying

Personal:

Crop rotation in the 14th century became considerably more widespread after John.

Click to donate

to Ukraine's Armed Forces

Miles:	This week:	0.00	Month:	0.00	Year:	0.00
Adizero Rocket Lifetime Miles:						323.35
Asics Hyperspeed Lifetime Miles:						369.13
Mizuno Waverider Lifetime Miles:						509.70
Adistar Ride Lifetime Miles:						520.40
Saucony Type A Lifetime Miles:						253.60
Adistar Rideb Lifetime Miles:						236.30
Waveriderb Lifetime Miles:						466.70
Nimbus Lifetime Miles:						570.30
WhiteHyperspeed Lifetime Miles:						268.50
RedFree Lifetime Miles:						405.55
Saucony Hattori Lifetime Miles:						46.10
NimbusFIRE Lifetime Miles:						260.50
WhiteHyper2 Lifetime Miles:						100.20
WaveriderC Lifetime Miles:						203.95
NimbusVampire Lifetime Miles:						357.50
CelticMirage Lifetime Miles:						312.00
NeonFree Lifetime Miles:						17.80
Nimbus FireB Lifetime Miles:						2.50
Nimbus FireC Lifetime Miles:						0.00

Sun, Dec 08, 2013

Total Distance

13.70

Miserable Winter Tempo #1 19F and sunny

9 loops of Liberty Park first 3 with Allie

7:47,7:21,7:12,6:57,6:43

Then the tempo

6:12,5:57,6:05,6:08,6:01,6:07,5:54

Felt ok.

You’re in a room with four holes, and through each hole is a button. Each time you press the button, it toggles between on and off, but you don’t know what it is to begin with and can’t tell the difference when you press the button. You have two hands, so you stick them through any two holes you choose, then either press the buttons or not. After you press the buttons, they spin around a random number of quarter turns. You can then do it again, but you don’t know whether you’re pressing the same or different buttons as last time. You’ll be free from the room when all four buttons are on or all four are off. How can you escape the room with 100% accuracy in finite time?

Night Sleep Time: 0.00	Nap Time: 0.00	Total Sleep Time: 0.00

Comments

From CollinAnderson on Sun, Dec 08, 2013 at 17:53:31 from 70.196.194.52

Saw you guys out there running while driving by. Good run!

From Fritz on Mon, Dec 09, 2013 at 01:31:18 from 98.202.9.237

There are 5 combos. 4 on, 4 off, 2 on/off, 3 on/1 off, 3 off/1 on.

Does the room open automatically when 4 are on or 4 or off? If so, every time you hit two buttons there is a 2/5 chance you will end up with 4 on and 4 off. So I think after 15 tries there is a 99.95% chance you will have ended up with 4 on or 4 off. I think that is close to 100%. =1-(3/5)^15

I could be off because I don't know how you could know with 100% certainty that 4 are on or 4 are off, unless the door opens automatically.

From steve ash on Mon, Dec 09, 2013 at 13:15:41 from 174.52.100.252

Forgive my ignorance as my background in math is kind of weak. I suppose this is a statistics probability question?

Might sound like a dumb question I know but I never attained enough math skills other than what was necessary to solve basic electronic calculations.

From fiddy on Mon, Dec 09, 2013 at 14:05:45 from 155.101.96.138

Fritz, yes it opens automatically. However, I'm looking for a method that gets you out EVERY time.

Steve, no math is required to solve this problem.

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