Neighborhoods - 31:47
I did a progression run this evening, with splits of 7:47, 7:15, 6:45, and 6:18. On the last half mile I ran easy with 4 x 10 second fast strides. A bit windy and drizzly out this evening - a big shift from this weekend.
Here is a little pre-marathon analysis for the truly anal person (just me, probably). I compared the 17 weeks (I excluded the last taper week) leading up to each of my previous marathons and before this Sunday's Portland Marathon.
Ave MPW High MP miles Tempo miles VO2 miles 15+ mile runs weight Time
New York 53.7 60 41 36 30 12 177 2:50
Newport 54.5 70 41 75 28 12 173 2:43
Portland 52.4 61 68 71 13 8 171 ????
Where does that put my predicted time for Portland? My guess is the 2:45-2:46 range. My mileage was a bit lower (bit not significantly) and my number of long runs was down as well. Having only one run over 18 miles is a bit worrisome! But my mileage in the marathon pace and threshold range is higher, so that has to help. The travel should be easier than New York, but probably not as smooth as Newport. My health is excellent. No injuries to speak of. All that's left to do is hit the taper correctly, get sleep and good nutrition this week and hope for the best. |