Sasha Pachev
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« Reply #1 on: March 28, 2008, 02:12:05 pm » |
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If you are 100% sure you can run 2:35, and you are good at running even through the race, the pacing strategy should be first half in 1:18:30, second in 1:16:30.
Also, be aware that under ideal conditions SLC course is 2 minutes slower than TOU under 2007 conditions. So with 2:35 you are aiming for 7 minute effective PR, which I think is doable given your recent increase in mileage. In TOU, you demonstrated in the first 20 miles that you had enough half-marathon fitness to run 2:37. Now your half-marathon fitness is up, and you should also be able to hold it better.
My suggestion would be to not plan to run faster than 2:35. So for the first half, run by feel, but try not to get there before 1:18:30. But do not get there after 1:20:00 either, unless you are just having a bad day. Then if you underestimated your fitness, you have a nice net downhill half with no uphills steeper than 1% or longer than 0.1 to make up. Always be willing to adjust the plan, do not get hung up on the numbers. If your body is telling you the pace is too fast anywhere before 20, better believe it. After that, better not believe it.
Also, note that the first half is really bad for pacing. First mile is fast, next two are more normal, then two screaming fast miles, followed by dog-slow for the next 5. It gets a bit more normal after that. This makes it even more important to use your senses.
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