Put another way, carbon dating or any other age-determining process relies on some grand assumptions. Like atmospheric conditions being exactly the same millions of years ago as they are today. I've always been interested in seeing a confidence interval for carbon dating, but nobody ever provides one. And I don't know how to derive one (and would be too lazy if I could
). I imagine that if you could derive one, it would be v e r y wide.
Wide, like a percent or two.
As a (former) geologist, I find that statement, nay assumption, borderline offensive.
(Tyler, bear with me, I'm not really upset, but do feel the call to be an advocate for modern geological methods).
Even
if carbon dating is wrong (and it certainly has limitations), there is also thermoluminescence (TL), optical stimulated luminescence (OSL), cosmogenic dating (Be-10, Al-26, etc.), ice cores, tree rings, electron-spin resonance (ESR), not to mention the more well-known radiometric dating methods (Potassium-Argon, Uranium-Lead, etc.). Consistency between non-related methods is marvelous.
The assumptions are not so grand, and the math is simple. Typical error bounds of most dating methods are within a few percent, and have improved drastically since the advent of mass spectrometry.
In specific regards to C14 dating, dates are best for things less than 11,800 years old (+/- 50 years or so), due to tree-ring calibration. C14 can be used for other objects up to about 60,000 years old, but are "raw" (not calibrated) and have higher uncertainty. Atmospheric conditions certainly play into this, but will not create order-of-magnitude error. Error bounds are more like +/- a few hundred years. Like anything else, the accuracy is dependent on the quality of the sample, and will give bad results if misused on inappropriate materials or age ranges.
The most impressive thing is that a given radiometric dating method is incredibly consistent with other forms of radiometric dating
and forms of
non-radiometric dating. For example, Meteor Crater is Arizona calculates out to be roughly 49,000 years old, based on C14, TL,
and cosmogenic methods (off the top of my head). These are all non-related methods, but all output the same result. It's pretty cool, actually.
If you are truly interested in the topic, check out:
Thompson, Tim, 2003. A radiometric dating resource list.
http://www.tim-thompson.com/radiometric.htmlWiens, Roger C., 1994, 2002. Radiometric dating: A Christian perspective.
http://www.asa3.org/ASA/RESOURCES/WIENS.htmlDalrymple, G. Brent, 2000. Radiometric dating does work! Some examples and a critique of a failed creationist strategy. Reports of the National Center for Science Education 20(3): 14-17.
http://ncseweb.org/book/export/html/2748Harland, W. B., R. L. Armstrong, A. V. Cox, L. E. Craig, A. G. Smith, and D. G. Smith, 1990. A Geologic Time Scale 1989. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Hilgen, F. J., W. Krijgsman, C. G. Langereis and L. J. Lourens, 1997. Breakthrough made in dating of the geological record. EOS 78(28): 285,288-289.
http://www.agu.org/sci_soc/eos96336.htmlLindsay, Don, 1999. Are radioactive dating methods consistent with each other?
http://www.don-lindsay-archive.org/creation/crater_chain.htmlLindsay, Don, 2000. Are radioactive dating methods consistent with the deeper-is-older rule?
http://www.don-lindsay-archive.org/creation/confirm.htmlMeert, Joe, 2000. Consistent radiometric dates.
http://gondwanaresearch.com/radiomet.htmRubin, Ken, 2001. The formation of the Hawaiian Islands.
http://www.soest.hawaii.edu/GG/HCV/haw_formation.htmlThompson, Tim, n.d. Luminescence and radiometric dating.
http://www.tim-thompson.com/luminescence.htmlThorne, A. et al., 1999. Australia's oldest human remains: Age of the Lake Mungo 3 skeleton. Journal of Human Evolution 36(6): 591-612.
Other than the geology lesson, I have nothing to add! But someone must defend the rocks...