Had I known that 2:22 would be enough this year, I would have reconsidered my decision to not run TCM. However, I agree with Paul that 2:22 won't get it done this year and probably not any year in the next three with these new changes to the OT qualifying. If you look at the entry list (http://www.usatf.org/events/2008/USAMarathonChampionship-Men/entry/status.asp
) you will see quite a few folks who will finish in the top 10 and be under 2:22. My training buddy Mike Sayenko will almost certinaly be one of them as he is in great shape.
My reason for not running TCM was because I didn't feel I could OTQ. The 2:22 option isn't likely to materialize so I would have made the same decision.
BTW...TCM has been a yo-yo in terms of times. In 2002, 13th place was under 2:22. In 2003 10th was. In 2004 more than 15 broke 2:22 and the following year in 2005 only three broke that mark. In 2006 11 did and last year under the ridiculous heat, four did.
As for the rest of the final qualifying changes, I think it's great. The best change is the HUGE window. That gives everyone lots of chances to git 'er done.
1:05 is completely impossible for me in the half. There is no way I can run 4:57s for 13 miles. 2:19 is possible but will still be a major challenge.